Cagle Releases Another Positive TV Ad

Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle released another TV ad that once again has a positive message AND focuses on an issue. In an overly saturated and negative political ad season, it is good to hear (or see) a positive ad come across the airwaves.

The ad, like his first, focuses on College and Career academies and never mentions Connie Stokes, his Democratic opponent.

I am neither a pollster nor a pundit, but my gut tells me that Cagle will poll the highest percentage of any of the statewide candidates in two weeks.  I think that he has the right type of message that will hopefully be emulated by future campaigns.  Voters (and my younger children) are becoming very weary of all of the negative ads.

Cagle Releases Another Positive TV Ad – Peach Pundit — Peach Pundit.

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Who Said This? –

The chairman of one of Georgia’s political parties gave the AJC this statement Tuesday evening:

It echoes the message for job training and opportunity and changing the climate of communities. … It’s all about changing the climate and the communities so that you can move forward and not feel like you’re restricted. That’s the message from our entire team: Let’s bring better opportunities so it doesn’t end up like that.

Was that leader talking about Casey Cagle’s effort to promote career academies in Georgia? Or, was he talking about how Nathan Deal has implemented criminal justice reform that reduces the prison population and works to educate offenders, many of whom are black, so they can be integrated back into society? Or, was it the promotion and passage of the Charter Schools amendment two years ago that expanded the opportunities for children with failing schools in their neighborhoods to get a decent education?

If you guessed any of the above, you are wrong.

The first page of a mailer sent out by the Democratic Party of Georgia. Credit: Jim Galloway, AJC

The first page of a mailer sent out by the Democratic Party of Georgia. Credit: Jim Galloway, AJC

Instead, that’s Democratic Party of Georgia Chairman Dubose Porter justifying this mailer that was apparently sent to people of color, urging them to “vote for change” and to vote early. The AJC caught up with Porter Tuesday evening and asked for his comments.

Democrats and Republicans alike are doing their best to motivate their voters to cast ballots in November. But, it’s a non-sequitur for the Democrats to link the events in the city of Ferguson Missouri with who will be elected to Georgia’s statewide or federal offices. That, however, is the ugly politics of race. It’s seen on the Republican side as well, with opposition to “Amnesty” any time a proposal is made to modify the way immigration works.

The Rick Allen campaign in Georgia’s Twelfth District was quick to respond:

“The national and local media, citizens from across the country and international poll-watchers would rain fire and vitriol from the heavens if Republicans tried this — as well they should,” said Allen spokesman Dan McLagan. “This is ugly, racist, wrong and, sadly, in character for a Democratic Party that is out of ideas and desperate to cling to what congressional seats they can. If John Barrow won’t disavow and condemn this foul spew, it will say more about his character than any 30-second ad ever could.”

Dan McLagan is one of the more colorful spokesmen in Georgia politics. But, there’s truth in what he says. One wonders what Jason Carter or Michelle Nunn, who talks about working across the aisle to solve the country’s problems, would say about the mailer.

via Who Said This? – Peach Pundit — Peach Pundit.

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An Editorial Comment from Pickens Co. GOP Chairman

Teb leading a meetingLetter to the Editor

To the Editor and Citizens of Pickens County:

We are now within two weeks of an important election and this message is directed to all eligible voters. While I clearly have my own preferences as to whom to vote for, I am more interested in why everyone who can vote should vote now. This is vital because without significant and thoughtful voter participation I believe our system of representative government will disappear over time and be replaced by one of special interests.

Let me suggest there are two important questions to answer prior to making your selections. First, what has been the record during the last several years in terms of the economy, national security, and personal liberties? Are we better off, more secure, and still free to live our lives than in the recent past?

Depending on your answer, you should then ask which candidate is likely to take the actions necessary to continue or improve upon the answer to the first question. Will you and the country enjoy a better economy, be safe in your home, and enjoy the rights inherent to all Americans as a result of your vote?

From my viewpoint, there are two detailed considerations when making your selections. Consider the individual: what qualifications does this person possess to instill confidence that correct and significant actions will be taken; do they say what they believe and does it make sense? Consider their philosophy: with whom do they associate and does that association make you comfortable as to their abilities and the likelihood of getting the right answers in the future to the original two questions?

Whether you follow this or some other process, the most important ultimate result is that you get out and vote on or before November 4th. Our future as Americans depends on it.

Thomas E. (Teb) Bowman III
Chairman, Pickens County Republican Party

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▶ Poll: More Voters Say Bush Was Better Manager Of Govt. Than Obama

AP

AP

Voters in battleground states think President Obama is worse at “managing the basic functions of the federal government” than his predecessor George W. Bush, according to a POLITICO poll released Monday. In other words, voters think Obama is a less effective manager than the man he stills blames for his failures.

Thirty-eight percent of respondents said Bush, the greatest living president, was a more effective manager of government, compared to 35 percent who said Obama was more effective; 26 percent said the two were “about the same.” So in total, 64 percent of respondents think Obama is, at best, no better than George W. Bush at managing the government.

But that wasn’t the only disconcerting news for the president. Nearly two-thirds of respondents said the situation in the United States was “out of control,” while 50 percent said the country was “off on the wrong track,” compared to just 20 percent who said the country was “headed in the right direction.”

No wonder Obama supporters seem to have lost interest. At a recent campaign rally in Maryland, attendees headed for the exits shortly after the president began speaking.

In addition to being an impressive manager of the government, Greatest Living President Bush is also a fantastic painter whose artistic prowess continues to impress. That’s just one more example of how Bush is better than Obama.

▶ Poll: More Voters Say Bush Was Better Manager Of Govt. Than Obama – YouTube.

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Black Vote Seen as Key to Democratic Senate Control

History is being made in Georgia today. Sunday voting for the first time 12pm – 5pm

A front page story in Sunday’s New York Times quoted a memo from former Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher predicting that Democrats would suffer “crushing losses” unless they were able to drive turnout of African-American voters this year. The memo claimed that half of black voters don’t know when the midterm election is.

Georgia is one of four states where black voter turnout could decide which party controls the Senate in January.

Mr. Belcher declined to discuss for whom he had written the memo, saying it was private, but the document was circulated by the Democratic National Committee. In the memo, he also argued that the turnout gap, more than any Republican Tea Party wave, was responsible for Democrats’ 2010 defeats. So the challenge for Democrats is to get midterm voters to the polls at presidential election-year rates.

“If you tell me in Georgia that, on the closing of the polls, the electorate is 32 percent African-American, I’m going to tell you we have probably elected a Democratic senator,” he said. “That’s not theory. It’s basic math.”

Democratic efforts to boost black turnout have been stymied by the fact that the one person who could do the most to motivate African-American voters — President Obama — is also the one person many Democratic candidates don’t want to appear to be associated with.

The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll last week noted that while voter enthusiasm nationwide is lower than normal, it’s higher in the states with competitive Senate races. 54% of voters in those states are enthusiastic about the election, while only 44% nationally are.

Are Georgia’s minority voters fired up and ready to cast their votes? There have been rumors that Democratic voters aren’t overly enthusiastic about Michelle Nunn beacause she hasn’t made statements of support for progressive goals, and hasn’t been vocal enough in backing President Obama.

That may be wishful thinking on behalf of Republicans. What we do have is this tweet from former Atlanta Mayor Shirley Franklin.

via Peach Pundit – Georgia Politics.

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Nathan Deal vs. Jason Carter Nonpartisan Candidate Guide for Georgia Governor’s Race 2014 | Campus Election Engagement Project

Are you looking for a nonpartisan voter guide to the Nathan Deal vs. Jason Carter Governor’s race? One that will give you an unbiased, no-spin comparison of candidate positions on key issues? That’s what our Campus Election Engagement Project guide will give you! We are a national nonpartisan initiative working with college and university administrators, faculty, and student leaders to increase student participation in America’s elections. For the 2014 elections we have created and distributed voter guides to campuses in more than 20 states so they can provide their communities with accurate information for informed voting. Because these guides have been so well received and are useful for all voting citizens who want to be better informed, we are also posting them here.

We developed our guides by analyzing information from trusted resources such as www.votesmart.org, www.ontheissues.org, www.ballotpedia.com, www.politifact.com, www.factcheck.org, www.vote411.org and from candidate websites, public debates and interviews, and statements in major media outlets. We also showed them to groups like campus Young Republicans and Young Democrats at the schools we work with to verify their fairness and lack of bias.

So here are the issue-by-issue stands for Nathan Deal and Jason Carter, with additional links at the bottom for each candidate if you’d like to dig deeper. (You can also find Georgia’s Senate guide here.)

———-

Education: Do you support increasing funding for K-12 education?

Deal: Continued major austerity cuts in first three years, now partially restoring. (See Politifact.com analyses of both GOP claims and Carter campaign claims regarding Deal’s K-12 funding record.)

Carter: Yes

Education: Do you support the effort to standardize and increase school standards under the Common Core initiative?

Deal: No

Carter: Yes

Education: Do you support providing vouchers to parents to send their children to private schools with public money?

Deal: Yes

Carter: No

Education: Do you support increasing funding for higher education?

Deal: Yes. Also proposes funding schools on graduation rates as well as on enrollment

Carter: Yes

Elections: Do you support requiring registered voters to present a photo-ID in order to vote?

Deal: Yes

Carter: No. Successfully challenged cost of voter IDs.

Elections: Do you support increasing restrictions on campaign donations?

Deal: Mostly no. (Supports requiring disclosure of lobbyists’ bundled contribution and limits on and disclosure of grassroots political committee contributions. But simultaneously supports legislation that allows unlimited and undisclosed contributions from corporate trade associations and party PACS.)

Carter: Yes

Environment: Do you believe that human activity is a major factor contributing to climate change?

Deal: No

Carter: Implied by stands, but direct statements hard to find.

Environment: Do you support taking government action to limit the levels of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere?

Deal: No

Carter: Unknown

Environment: Do you support government mandates and/or subsidies for renewable energy?

Deal: No

Carter: Has sponsored legislation to ease barriers to renewable energy installations, unclear stance on mandates.

Gay Marriage: Do you support gay marriage?

Deal: No

Carter: Yes

Gun Control: Do you support enacting more restrictive gun control legislation?

Deal: No

Carter: No

Healthcare: Do you support the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare?

Deal: No

Carter: Yes

Healthcare: Should your state accept federal funds so Medicaid will cover people earning up to 138% of the federal poverty line?

Deal: No. Opted out of Medicaid expansion.

Carter: Yes

Marijuana: Do you support efforts to decriminalize and/or legalize marijuana?

Deal: Supports medical marijuana

Carter: Supports medical marijuana

Minimum Wage: Do you support raising the minimum wage?

Deal: No

Carter: Unknown

Social Issues: Should abortion be highly restricted?

Deal: Yes

Carter: No

Social Issues: Should employers be able to withhold contraceptive coverage from employees if they disagree with it morally?

Deal: Yes

Carter: Unknown

Taxes: Have you signed the Americans for Tax Reform Pledge to oppose any tax increases to raise revenue? (The answer to this question is taken from the database of signatories of the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, created by Americans for Tax Reform. Signers to the pledge promise to oppose “any and all tax increases” meant to generate additional revenue.)

Deal: Yes

Carter: No

Taxes: Would you increase taxes on corporations and/or high-income individuals to pay for public services?

Deal: No. See above.

Carter: No but would review corporate loopholes

via Nathan Deal vs. Jason Carter Nonpartisan Candidate Guide for Georgia Governor’s Race 2014 | Campus Election Engagement Project.

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Tinfoil Hat Time: Bill Gates is taking over Vidalia Onion production?

spending1105_imageWe already knew Billionaire and former Microsoft CEO Bill Gates is trying to decide what our children learn. That’s because he’s the secret mastermind behind the Common Core educational standards. It’s all a plot to make him even more money that what he has now.

But that may not be the worse of his offenses. It appears Gates may be trying to take over the production of Georgia’s Vidalia onion crop.

We learned about this via The Produce News – Motto: “Covering Fresh Produce From Around the World Since 1897.” Their story about this nefarious scheme was written by one Chip Carter. We are wondering if this Chip Carter is the son of Jimmy Carter and the father of this guy. Yup, James Earl Carter the Fourth, who spilled the beans on Mitt Romney and doomed him to a loss against Barack Obama.

But, I digress.

Down in Delvis Dutton territory, they’re worried about some recent purchases of farms in the area.

Already, two entities — Coggins Farms in Lake Park, GA, and more recently Stanley Farms and its subsidiaries in Lyons, GA — have been sold and, while the trail is murky, documents and interviews with other Vidalia-area growers link the purchases to Kirkland and seemingly to Gates.

Inquiries by the press and area residents have apparently been ignored, both by the farms involved, and the Gates cartel. Yet, some residents are willing to speak out.

“I’ve actually met with them,” said one well-placed grower who asked to remain anonymous.

Gates’ agricultural interests are well-known. He has been an active and ongoing crusader in developing countries, helping provide locals with means of improving subsistence farming operations.

What everyone in Vidalia would like to know is why Gates seemingly wants to be in the sweet onion business — and why he apparently does not want that fact widely known if that is indeed the case.

Many are worried about factory farms replacing traditional family farms. Right now, the concern is mostly centered on farms producing livestock rather than fruits and vegetables. (Sidebar: Is cotton a fruit or a vegetable?) Is that concern applicable for farms that produce cotton, soybeans, or even a variety of Allium Granex?

via Peach Pundit – Georgia Politics.

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Touch Times Ahead for David Perdue?

Is the David Perdue campaign in for some rough times over the next few weeks as it works to win the Senate from Michelle Nunn? FiveThirtyEight believes it just might be. The following is from their recent article:

Something funny happened in FiveThirtyEight’s Senate forecast over the last two days. The overall odds haven’t moved much — Republicans have a 61 percent chance of winning a Senate majority — but the second-most competitive race is now in a state that hasn’t been paramount in the minds of most political analysts: Georgia.

The model now gives Republican David Perdue a 66 percent chance of winning in the Peach State and a tiny 1.4 point lead over Democrat Michelle Nunn. We project Perdue to fall just short of a majority in November, which would trigger a runoff in January.

The article cites the recent SurveyUSA Poll that puts Michelle Nunn three points ahead of David Perdue. FiveThirtyEight was founded by ballgame statistician turned political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the outcome in all 50 states and the District of Columbia during the 2012 Presidential election, and 36 of the 37 states during the 2010 Gubernatorial elections.

But why the sudden drop in Perdue’s polling numbers? Conservative radio show host and Peach Pundit Editor Emeritus Erick Erickson believes that Michelle Nunn’s recently acquired lead on David Perdue can be attributed to the Nunn campaign outspending the Perdue campaign in the Atlanta media market. On Erickson’s October 16th show, he asserts that Nunn’s paid media attacks on Perdue’s outsourcing record is only hurting Perdue more by causing “protectionist conservatives” to switch sides from Perdue to Nunn.

Erickson also predicts that while Perdue would not be strong enough to avoid a runoff, he would still win it, given the Georgia Republican Party’s consistent record of performing well in runoff elections in the recent past. But the way things stand right now, it should be safe to assume that the likelihood of the Senate race going into a runoff gets stronger day by day.

via Peach Pundit – Georgia Politics.

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The Macaca Democrats

Something peculiar has happened. As I write, none of the Republican candidates for Senate has become a public embarrassment. On the contrary: For the first time in a decade, it is the Democratic candidates, not the Republican ones, who are fodder for late-night comics. That the Democrats are committing gaffes and causing scandals at a higher rate than Republicans not only may be decisive in the battle for the Senate. It could signal a change in our politics at large.

Yes, at any given moment, one of the Republican candidates could say something stupid, could be revealed to be unethical, could act like an idiot. These are human beings we are talking about. There is a little more than two weeks to go before Election Day—plenty of time for Republicans to screw it up. But the fact that the GOP field has come so far without committing unforced errors is news in itself.

Since 2006, when Republican Senator George Allen of Virginia referred to an Indian-American Democratic tracker as “Macaca,” GOP candidates have found ways to provoke, to offend, to annoy, to spawn unpleasant narratives, to let themselves become the story. In 2014, though, the Macaca moments aren’t coming from Republicans. They are coming from Democrats.

In Montana, Senator John Walsh bowed out after he was exposed as a plagiarist. His replacement: avowed “punktuator” and socialist Amanda Curtis. In Kentucky, Alison Lundergan Grimes won’t reveal her presidential vote, citing—I am not making this up—the constitutional right to privacy (maybe what she had in mind was her Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination). In Colorado, Mark Udall’s pro-abortion strategy is so tone-deaf, so extreme, that the press has dubbed him “Mark Uterus.” In Louisiana, Mary Landrieu is saddled with charges of taking improper charter flights, and of claiming her parents’ home as her own, raising questions of residency. In Arkansas, Mark Pryor couldn’t give an answer when a reporter asked if he approved of the president’s handling of the Ebola crisis. In Alaska, Mark Begich had to pull a scurrilous attack ad. In New Hampshire, Jeanne Shaheen is outraged by a Washington Free Beacon story revealing her involvement in a business that sold stolen goods.

Rep. Bruce Braley of Iowa is in a category all his own. His classless remark about longtime Senator Chuck Grassley being a farmer had such an impact that months later, when Braley said at a debate that his first call as senator would be to the Iowa Republican, the audience burst into laughter. Then there is the story of how Braley threatened a neighbor with a lawsuit over her pet chicken. It revealed him to the world as Congressman Schmuck.

The chicken is illustrative. It shows how candidate skills can be the key factor in a race. On one level, 2014 resembles 2010. The country is pretty much evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans. President Obama is unpopular, the economy is improving but only the rich are really feeling it, and Republicans have a lead in the generic ballot.

The difference? The Republican candidates are of much higher quality. After years of running Foleys and Akins, the GOP has marshaled an impressive slate of Senate prospects: McConnell, Gardner, Cassidy, Cotton, Sullivan, Brown, and Ernst have waged slick campaigns with few mistakes. In 2010, the Republicans fielded lightweights Sharron Angle and Ken Buck and “I’m Not a Witch” O’Donnell. It cost them the Senate. Chickens played a role in Sue Lowden losing the Republican Senate nod to Angle, helping deny the party Harry Reid’s seat. Four years later, they may play a similar part in Bruce Braley’s undoing.

Indeed, this year may be less like 2010 than 2006. The varnish of power, of legitimacy, of seriousness is wearing off the incumbent party. It is not only that we are in the sixth year of a two-term presidency. It is also because the grand dreams of the president’s reelection—the major reforms, the gains in House and Senate seats, the talk of enduring majorities—are no longer tenable. The president’s approval rating is cratering; voter frustration and anger is mounting; the party of government is presiding over a time of government failure and malpractice.

The condition of the world and of America is awful and getting worse. Putin, Assad, the Islamic State, Ebola, Libya, child refugees on the border, war on the police in Ferguson, Iran, head-choppers in Oklahoma, market crash, the IRS, the VA, the DOJ—all this, and president is ready to amnesty illegal immigrants and empty Guantanamo Bay.

The liberal agenda is stagnant. Liberal discourse is insular, sophomoric, divorced from everyday life. What liberals say about race and gender and climate change is designed not to persuade the unconvinced but to rally the base. MSNBC is imploding. Vox.com is a laughingstock. The New Republic, now a hedge fund, is running articles calling for revolution against straight, white, and middle-class men. Have they looked at their masthead?

via The Macaca Democrats | Washington Free Beacon.

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Carter Releases Ad Attacking Deal’s Wealth

With less than three weeks remaining until Georgia’s high-stakes Election Day, Jason Carter’s gubernatorial campaign has released a new ad, this one attacking the manner in which his campaign says Gov. Nathan Deal “got rich.”

via Peach Pundit – Georgia Politics.

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